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Discursos:
Mike Moore
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I
First of all my sincere thanks to my good friend Fred
Bergsten and the Institute of International Economics for
organizing this timely conference on the future of the
trading system. One of the constants of this system over
the past fifty years has been US leadership. America has
been a major driving force behind no less than eight
rounds of world trade negotiations, including the
successful conclusion of the Uruguay Round. Recent
multilateral agreements to free trade in information
technologies, telecommunications, and financial services
- the value of which is equivalent to a major Round -
were largely a result of US leadership. And there would
be no WTO today without the imagination, tenacity and
commitment of the United States government - both
Republicans and Democrats. So when we talk about the
future of the trading system, almost by definition we are
also talking about the future of US leadership and US
trade policy.There
is another important point to be made about the subject
of this conference. Just two decades ago the challenge
facing the trade community was to bring subsidies,
antidumping, or technical standards fully into the rules
of the system. Now the trading system is being called on
from one side or another to take account of environmental
policy, financial instability, labour standards, ethical
issues, development policy, competition law, culture,
technology, investment, marginalization, security, health
- an ever-lengthening list of issues which can be
associated in one way or another with trade. This is a
reflection of the system's success in lowering barriers -
trade barriers first and foremost but not only trade
barriers. As we all know, trade's importance goes far
beyond trade; as the European experience has already
shown, it can also be the cement of peace. So, on this
fiftieth anniversary we are celebrating the past
achievements and the future promise of a system which is
as indispensable to global stability and security as it
is to global prosperity.
This
underlines how interdependent our present world has
become, and how important the trading system is to
managing globalization. As trade, investment, and
technology weave our economies closer together, the
trading system has become a growing focal point for
public expectations and concerns. Do differing labour
standards confer an unfair trade advantage? Are
environmental regulations a national or a global concern?
Should governments be able to regulate content on the
Internet? These new issues are a long way from
"traditional" trade concerns such as tariffs.
But all underline how economic integration can turn what
were once domestic issues into global concerns. And all
represent legitimate and important policy goals that the
international trading system is being asked in one way or
another to address.
What
I want to try to do here is to introduce a few elements
of clarity to this emerging debate. The first point is
that in the interdependent world in which we live, the
need to address policies, issues and objectives that are
in different ways related to trade is certainly not
something the multilateral trading system can turn away
from. As Charlene Barshefsky recently pointed out
"both trade and the environment are critical. No one
is being asked to choose one over the other and no one
should". None of us can ignore the reality of these
global concerns - whether they be environmental,
development, social or ethical issues. To describe the
WTO - as sometimes happens at present - as an institution
which is only focused on free trade and is insensitive to
broader human concerns and values is a false
representation.
II
Right
from the beginning the mission of the trading system to
improve human welfare has been clear. The preamble to the
GATT, negotiated in 1947, emphasizes that trade
liberalization should be conducted with a view to
"raising standards of living, ensuring full
employment and a large and steadily growing volume of
real income". For over fifty years the system has
fulfilled that mission in a way which has made an
immeasurable contribution to creating a more prosperous
and stable world.
The
multilateral system has contributed to an extraordinary
period of growth in world trade and output - growth which
in turn generates the economic resources that allow more
ambitious and costly environmental and social policies to
be put in place. World trade flows have increased
fourteen fold since 1950 - exceeding US$ 6 trillion for
the first time in 1995. In the same period, world GDP
increased by 1.9 per cent per year at constant prices and
taking account of overall population growth - an
extremely high figure by historical standards.
More
and more countries - especially in the developing world -
are being drawn into this system as its relevance and
influence expands. While early GATT rounds in the 1950s
typically involved some 20 to 30 countries, the Uruguay
Round had 123 participants. And today the WTO has 132
members - eighty per cent of which are developing or
transition economies. Developing countries as a whole now
account for a quarter of world trade today, compared to
less than a fifth a decade and a half ago; and for the
manufactured sector, its share has doubled from 10 to 20
per cent. Over the same period of time, 10 developing
countries with a combined population of 1.5 billion
people have doubled their income per head.
Then
there is the political value of the trading system -
placing international economic relations on a firm
foundation of the rule of law rather than the rule of
power. Open trade on the basis of universally accepted
rules helps to build shared international interests and
provides a powerful motive for maintaining global
stability and cooperative relations. And cooperative
relations in turn provide the best possible foundation on
which to build mutual respect.
Already
there is an ambitious list of negotiating commitments on
the WTO's future agenda - including, beside
services, negotiations in agriculture and aspects of
intellectual property. Decisions must also soon be taken
about investment and competition policy. And new issues
like electronic commerce are already demanding a response
from the WTO system. As Lou Gerstner, head of IBM, has
suggested, technology is pushing international
cooperation to a new level - what he describes as
"global public policy". At the next Ministerial
Conference, in Geneva in mid-May, we have to agree on the
mandate for the preparation of these and perhaps other
negotiations.
All
of this in turn reinforces the WTO 's institutional role
as a forum for ongoing negotiations and a binding
mechanism for settling disputes. Some 106 cases have been
brought to the WTO in the first three years of its
existence, compared to approximately 300 cases throughout
the life of the GATT - and many more of these cases are
being brought by developing countries, underlining their
growing faith in the system.
Unfortunately
the public relations aspects of the dispute settlement
mechanism are far less satisfactory than the system
itself. Preliminary results of sensitive disputes -
usually based on partial or incomplete knowledge - have
found their way into the public domain via the press or
the Internet. And on these partial and incomplete
presentations, political judgements are sometimes
expressed. Yet the WTO is prevented - by the rules to
which member governments have agreed - from providing the
full details of cases until the process is completed. By
which time opinions and political positions have been
formed and it is often too late to correct mistaken
impressions. This poses a major political challenge for
the dispute settlement process - a challenge which
members will have to address as soon as possible if they
want to preserve the legitimacy of the system in the
public's mind.
III
By
arguing that trade has an important role to play in
creating an economic environment more favourable to
sustainable development or social justice, I am not
arguing that the link is somehow automatic or inevitable.
A free global market, for example, can do little to
ensure that air, water or energy resources are accurately
priced for sustainable development as long as no
mechanisms exists to internalize environmental costs. In
the same way, trade liberalization is a hugely powerful
engine for economic growth, but it can do little by
itself to guarantee that wealth will be equitably
distributed. The essential point is that environmental
and social policies are needed to redistribute the
benefits that trade brings and to target particular
public goals. And in our increasingly integrated world,
many of these policy solutions will have to be as global
in scope as the global economy they must now address.
Firstly,
it would be difficult not to recognize that much more
progress is needed in the WTO Committee on Trade and the
Environment. Its work must be revitalized if the trade
and environmental agendas are to advance in a mutually
supportive way - and if we are to move beyond identifying
problems, to identifying solutions. In all this work it
will of course be essential to take full account of the
views of all WTO Members, including developing countries.
One clear priority is the need for a better framework to
define the relationship between Multilateral Environment
Agreements and the WTO in cases where there is room for
contradictions and inconsistencies between the two
systems of law - which will in turn require greater
technical coordination between trade and environmental
policy-makers, both at the national and the international
level. Other areas where we need to clarify the
relationship between both policy objectives - trade
liberalization and environmental protection - include,
among others, eco-labelling, Production and Process
Methods, and the so-called precautionary principle.
Second,
we must continue to make progress on the issue of labour
standards. Already we have made a crucial step forward
with the clear and strong consensus which emerged from
the WTO's Ministerial Conference in Singapore - a
consensus first, that members were committed to the
observance of core labour standards; second, that the ILO
was the relevant body to address these issues; third,
that standards are best promoted by growth and
development, fostered by trade liberalization; and
fourth, that labour standards should in no way be used
for protectionist purposes or to put into question the
comparative advantage of countries. The fact that the ILO
is now making important strides in these areas
demonstrates, not only that consensus on the most
difficult issues is possible, but that consensus is
absolutely critical to real and lasting progress.
The
third step was the WTO initiative last year to provide
assistance, in collaboration with UNCTAD, UNDP, the World
Bank and others, to address the needs of least-developed
countries. One objective is to give least-developed
countries better access for their exports in advanced
markets - and here I have strongly advocated that we
provide bound duty free access. Another objective is to
integrate the new technologies more effectively, so that
least developed countries are aware of the opportunities
in the global trading system, and better equipped to
seize them. And the third objective is to better
integrate a wide range of policies - linking technical
assistance with capacity building to design a mutually
reinforcing strategy for development.
I
give these examples to emphasize three points: First,
that multilateral approaches in the environmental, labour
and development fields are working - though no doubt much
more progress is needed. Second, that WTO Members have a
direct interest in real, substantive and durable progress
in these areas - not least because without such progress
it is the momentum of the world trading system itself
which could suffer. And third, that progress in these and
other policy areas will be greatest where they advance in
accordance with their own logic and needs and the forums
best adapted to them. The WTO cannot provide a shortcut
to consensus in these other policies. On the contrary, if
governments cannot reach a consensus in the appropriate
forums, it is even more difficult to see how they could
reach consensus in an organization whose focus is trade
and whose objective is trade liberalization.
IV
Let
me say a word about an area where we also need to clarify
the relationship between different systems and to
emphasize their common ground - and that is the
relationship between regional arrangements and
multilateralism. No doubt regional arrangements can be
helpful to the integration process - providing an impetus
to greater liberalization - especially for the developing
countries. But in a world where the reality of global
integration is calling for global solutions across a
whole range of policies and issues, regionalism cannot
provide an alternative to the multilateral system.
The
difference between multilateralism and regionalism comes
down to one basic question: whether or not the agreement
is discriminatory. It is true that the multilateral
system has always accepted some qualifications to MFN
treatment in the case of regional arrangements as long as
they meet the test of Article XXIV of the GATT and
article V of the GATS. But with the growing scope and
ambition of regional arrangements today it is
increasingly clear that conformity with the legal
requirements of the multilateral system cannot be the
only consideration. There are other issues at stake which
are of as great or even greater importance. One is the
adverse impact of a complex web of differing regional and
multilateral rules - especially the potential for
competing dispute settlement procedures - on our
ever-more integrated world trading system. An even
greater concern arises when regional areas cover too many
countries and too great a share of world trade - to the
point where preferential deals become the rule rather
than the exception in international trade relations. It
is the answers we find to these questions - as well as
the more legalistic issues - which will have a powerful
impact on the future direction of the trading system.
I
do not claim that the multilateral trading system that we
have built in the last 50 years is a perfect one.
But it is a system which is treats all countries equally,
regardless of size, wealth or power. It is a system which
operates by consensus, with all decisions approved by
each government and ratified by each national parliament.
And, more fundamentally, it is a system which is
rule-based, not power-based, as a shared responsibility
of all its members. It would be difficult to find a more
transparent and democratic system in the international
community - a reality which explains the lengthening list
of developing and transition economies lining up to join.
And yet we do not offer grants or loans, but just a
framework to negotiate the lowering of trade barriers
inside binding rules with the appropriate flexibilities
for developing countries.
V
The
reality of globalization is the reality of
interdependence, an interdependence that, as I said at
the outset, extends far beyond trade or strictly economic
criteria. The human dimension of globalization is
ever-more important. In every country and every region,
the same questions, concerns and anxieties are being
expressed: People want the fruits of economic growth and
integration, but at the same time they fear the effects
of globalization on the environment, wages levels, or
cultural identities. They want a strong and enforceable
system of rules - but only for others. They claim that
their policies and practices are best, and want them
adopted by others - but rarely do they accept the same
proposition in reverse. And they recognize the benefits
of greater cooperation and coordination at the
international level, but they instinctively resist
interference in domestic affairs or laws or policies.
This reflects the fact that politics are mainly national,
while technology, economics - and people's hopes and
fears - are increasingly global in scope. This is why we
need an international architecture which can take account
in a balanced way of the policies and objectives which
must come together in cooperation.
By
definition, the global challenges we all face call for
shared and cooperative solutions. They demand consensus.
And this means using multilateral negotiations to
construct multilateral agreements - which will require
determination, skill, and patience. Next month we have an
opportunity to celebrate a unique - and uniquely valuable
- exercise in global economic cooperation: the fiftieth
anniversary of the multilateral trading system. But we
also have a window of new opportunity to be as creative
in developing the architecture of an increasingly
borderless, global economy as our forefathers were a half
a century ago in developing the postwar international
system. What is needed is a kind of breadth of vision
that can match this emerging global age. Now, as then,
America will be looked upon to help provide that vision
and the leadership to make it a reality.
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