
Thank you Mr. Chairman, Mr. Minister, ladies and
gentlemen. I am very pleased to have the opportunity to
address such an impressive gathering of German business
leaders - all the more so because the subject of your
conference, "Sustainable Development",
represents one of the most powerful ideas of our time.
The end of the Cold War in 1989 swept away more than the
Berlin Wall. It erased many of the barriers of ideology,
politics, and economics which had divided our world for
almost fifty years. One of the most unique features of
this new global age is the opportunity we now have to
tackle shared challenges with a new sense of shared
outlook, shared values, and shared purpose. The idea of
sustainable development exemplified this emerging picture
- and it is about this larger picture that I want to talk
to you today. This
has been a year of great achievements for the world
trading system. Over the past twelve months, we have
launched an important initiative to integrate the
Least-Developed Countries into the mainstream of the
world trading system. We have reached agreements to
liberalize trade in information technology products and
telecommunications services - the combined value of which
equals world trade in autos, textiles and agriculture
combined. And in three days time we have an opportunity
to reach an equally sweeping agreement to liberalize
global financial services.
These
will be three difficult days in Geneva. But what is
certain is that this long negotiation has produced a very
impressive harvest. In this third and final stage of the
negotiations, we have received 46 offers of improved
market access. Since one of those comes from the European
Union, this represents over sixty offers from individual
countries. And at least five others should arrive today.
In all, over one hundred countries - representing all the
industrialized economies, and more than seventy
developing and transition economies - will have made
commitments to open markets in this critically important
sector. No one can predict at this stage what all the
elements of the imminent conclusion will be. But it is
hard to imagine - in this final phase - that all of our
achievements will be allowed to slip away.
Beyond
our advances this year, we have a full agenda ahead of us
- encompassing further negotiations in agriculture,
services and intellectual property, the possibility of
launching negotiations in the area of electronic commerce
- an area which opens up new and exciting
opportunities for small and medium-sized enterprises to
reach markets that were previously unattainable - as well
as the accession of China, Russia, and the 29 other
applicant countries to the system. Although difficult
challenges remain, what the fathers of multilateralism
only dreamed of half a century ago is moving closer to
reality today - the creation of a global trading system
built, not on the rule of power, but on the rule of law.
But
the real significance of the WTO's successes goes beyond
the expansion of world trade - critically important
though this is. Our ability to move towards the
construction of a truly global system for an increasing
globalized economy stands as a powerful and encouraging
symbol for those seeking solutions to the many other
issues which now spill across borders, jurisdictions, and
cultures. Whether we are talking about the environment,
development, labour, human rights or other ethical values
- in all these areas there are positive signs that the
policy debate is moving beyond the sterile divisions and
polarities of the past. The search, instead, is for a
more coherent global approach which balances the needs of
the planet with the needs of the billions of people who
deserve a better standard of living.
Our
societies are in the midst of a profound transition -
where economic value will be determined more and more by
information and knowledge, and where new borderless
technologies, especially in the field of
telecommunications, will allow broader and more equal
access to this new economy. The debate should not be
about whether globalization must be slowed down or
accelerated - its onward march is a fact of life fuelled
by the advances of technology, the rise of the developing
world, and the opening of world markets. The debate
should be about how we can collectively harness the
energy of globalization behind larger global solutions.
This
debate starts with recognizing - and reinforcing - the
inherent link between economic growth and the advancement
of environmental, social, and ethical goals; a link which
is central to the idea of "sustainable
development". The reality is that trade is a
powerful engine of economic growth, and that economic
growth is vital to creating conditions which favour
advancing environmental protection, improving social
conditions, or sustaining ethical values. By opening
markets, particularly to exports from developing
countries, and by keeping markets open through clear and
enforceable rules, the global trading system is a natural
ally of sustainable development. This is the experience
of our economic history since the creation of the
multilateral trading system fifty years ago.
An
open trading system is also important in more fundamental
ways. One of the keys to sustainable development lies in
pricing environmental resources to reflect their real
scarcity and true social value. Faced with the prospect
of global warming, a thinning atmosphere, contaminated
water or disappearing forest, the idea that we cannot
afford the cost of protecting the environment is rapidly
giving way to the idea that we cannot afford not to
protect it - and, moreover, that getting ahead of the
business trend towards sustainable development can
actually be profitable. This year, the OECD projects that
the market for environmental goods and services worldwide
is worth between US$ 250 and 400 billion. Although the
issue of assigning values and responsibilities for the
environment is largely a question of putting in place the
right domestic policies, trade liberalization has an
important role to play here by reducing market
inefficiencies which distort price signals.
Then
there is the political value of the international trading
system. Open trade on the basis of universally accepted
rules helps to build shared international interests and
provides a powerful motive for maintaining global
stability and cooperative relations. And cooperative
relations in turn provide the best possible foundation on
which to exert moral influence and build mutual respect.
On the other hand, weakening the international trading
system in any significant way would most certainly mean
destabilizing the global order and closing off
opportunities for partnership and dialogue.
Although
the Uruguay Round made progress in reducing barriers to
developing country products, significant tariff
escalation and numerous tariff peaks remain. These must
be obvious targets for further negotiation and
elimination - especially if we want to relieve the
pressure on developing countries to specialise only in
natural resource exploitation or low value-added,
environmentally sensitive activities. Agriculture, in
particular, is a sector where trade liberalization and
greater market disciplines could have a positive effect
on the environment. Study after study shows how market
access restrictions, domestic support policies, and
export subsidies have been the cause of direct and
significant harm to the environment in many developed
countries. And the same time, developing countries have
been denied the full export opportunities for their
agricultural exports which would have allowed them to
"buy" better environmental policies. In the
same way, one of the major causes of overfishing
throughout the world's oceans is the excessive
subsidization of national fishing fleets.
The
fundamental point is clear. Trade liberalization - not
trade restriction - can be a natural ally of sustainable
development. And vice versa. This fact was recognized in
the Rio Declaration of 1992 when it observed that
"an open multilateral trading system makes possible
a more efficient allocation and use of resources and
thereby contributes to an increase in production and
incomes and to lessen demands on the environment".
Just as "a sound environment provides the ecological
and other resources needed to sustain growth and underpin
a continuing expansion of trade".
Does
this mean that trade liberalization on its own can solve
all of the complex environmental and social issues we
face in today's interdependent world? Of course not.
Freer investment will not repair the damage to our
atmosphere. Lower tariffs will not halt the destruction
of our forests. What an open, rules-based trading system
provides is a necessary precondition - in partnership
with the appropriate environmental, development, or
social policies - for building a more globally coherent
policy response to the challenges of globalization.
The
broader solution to environmental, social, and other
challenges lies in reaching a global consensus in each of
these areas. Reaching enforceable global agreements and
standards. And building the kind of global institutions
needed to manage them. It lies, in other words, with
developing global rules to address global needs - as we
have done over fifty years with the trading system.
Examples
of the kinds of multilateral agreements that are possible
include the Convention on International Trade in
Endangered Species (CITES), the Basel Convention, or the
Montreal Protocol. And as early as tomorrow, in Kyoto,
some 150 governments from around the world are poised to
agree on targets and timetables to stabilize and reduce
greenhouse gas emissions. Although work has concentrated
on emissions from developed economies, the negotiations
over the past week have also aimed at forging
partnerships with the fast-emerging economies of the
developing world. The point is that each of these
agreements targets the environmental problem they aim to
solve with an environmental answer - not with a trade
answer. And they exemplify the scope for
transgovernmental solutions to specific transborder
issues.
Nothing
in the WTO stands in the way of the international
community pursuing these goals in international
agreements. On the contrary, the WTO has every interest
in building an effective bridge between the multilateral
trade agenda and the multilateral agenda in areas like
the environment, not least because without a coherent
strategy for addressing these challenges, it is trade
liberalization - and the multilateral system as a whole -
which will suffer.
Subject
to the basic requirement of non-discrimination, WTO rules
place no constraint on the policy choices available to a
country to protect its own environment or health
standards against damage either from domestic production
or from the consumption of domestically produced or
imported products. Governments can use any type of trade
restriction, including import and export quotas and
prohibitions, or the imposition of taxes or other charges
at the border, for the purpose of environmental
protection or resource conservation within their
jurisdiction - as long as basic requirements relating to
non-discrimination and least-trade- restrictiveness are
met. In other cases, protective measures should be based
on sound scientific evidence.
What
a country cannot do under WTO rules, however, is apply
trade restrictions to attempt to change the process
and production methods - or other policies - of its
trading partners. Why? Basically because the issue of
production and process methods lies within the sovereign
jurisdiction of each country.
But
this larger issue of production and process methods once
more underlies the pressing need to reach targeted
multilateral solutions to these specific issues. And here
again, WTO rules need not stand in the way. Such
agreements might, for example, involve compensatory
payments or inducements to burden-sharing, and include
provisions for monitoring compliance and other follow-up
action. As long as the agreement in question is genuinely
multilateral in the sense of being consensus-based among
WTO Members, the WTO - under Article XX - has little to
say about the use of such measures.
It
is true that up to now more could - and must - be done by
trade and environmental negotiators to coordinate their
policy proposals and to forge a common approach towards
trade-related, global environmental problems - with the
result that a number of the most important Multilateral
Environmental Agreements contain trade measures whose
consistency with WTO rules might be open to question. But
the reality is that - so far - the issue of legal
compatibility is a theoretical, not a practical problem
for the trading system. Over 200 international
environmental agreements already co-exist with the WTO
without a single challenge in dispute settlement -
suggesting that multilateral cooperation on the
environment - as on many other transborder issues - is a
practical option.
But
what about when a multilateral consensus for global
action does not exist? How to exert pressure on countries
considered by some to have inadequate, wayward or even
distasteful policies? And isn't this an argument for
allowing countries to take unilateral measures -
including trade sanctions - by adapting the WTO rules to
accommodate these goals?
I
would argue that the opposite is true. Asking the WTO to
solve issues which are not central to its work -
especially when these are issues which governments have
failed to address satisfactorily in other contexts - is
not just a recipe for failure. It could do untold harm to
the trading system itself - with all the collateral
effects this would have for a sustainable global economy
- without making any progress towards the environmental
or social goals it was meant to address. Let me outline
three broad reasons why:
First
there are serious doubts about whether trade agreements
offer a useful policy tool to address many of these
challenges. Take the example of a steel mill which
produces unacceptably high levels of sulphur emissions
leading to acid rain. Will imposing trade restrictions on
exports from this steel mill really eliminate the
problem? It may reduce production for export markets, but
not domestically. In fact, it could have the opposite
effect of forcing the mill to increase its domestic
production at lower costs to compensate for the loss of
foreign markets. And this would almost certainly reduce
profits which would in turn reduce the company's ability
to invest in cleaner, more environmentally-friendly
technologies. If the problem is pollution then our goal
should be to develop policies which address pollution -
not trade. And the same argument, for instance, applies
to issues of animal welfare. A trade sanction is not -
and cannot - be a lasting answer to the much larger
problem of cruelty to animals.
The
second point is political. There is a basic flaw in the
assumption that an international consensus on
environmental objectives, for instance, which eludes
countries in environmental fora can somehow be reached
less painlessly by the same countries in the WTO. The WTO
is a consensus-based organization - and all major
decisions are reached on the basis of mutual agreement. A
country which has not been persuaded to join a consensus
to resolve an environmental problem through a
Multilateral Environmental Agreement can hardly be
expected to join a consensus in the WTO to change the
trade rules in ways that would allow it to be punished.
The reality is probably just the opposite. In the WTO
such efforts would be more difficult because the logic of
the system is trade - and not the environment - and
because the rules are enforceable.
The
third - and perhaps most important - point is a legal
one. The WTO is not - and has no intention of becoming -
a supranational body with the power to determine values
and standards for the international community -
especially in the absence of internationally agreed
standards and rules. It is not a world policeman that can
force compliance upon unwilling governments. The genius
of the multilateral system lies in the way the free
pursuit of national self-interest within a
consensus-based system has produced such extraordinary
collective benefits in terms of open trade, shared
interests, and cooperative international action. Equally
revolutionary is the core principle of non-discrimination
which has done so much to remove power politics from
international trade relations, by guaranteeing all
countries equal rights within the system - irrespective
of their size and power.
The
irony is that some would now undermine these basic
principles of international cooperation in the name of
larger global objectives. Indeed, one paradoxical result
of the current search for global solutions to
environmental, social and other issues is growing
pressure in some quarters for unilateral trade measures.
But whose environmental standards, cultural traditions,
political systems represent a universal norm? Which one
of these values and standards should be imposed on other
countries? And do we really want the WTO to play the
judge, jury and police of environmental, social and
ethical values? Not only are we asking the trading system
to perform a role for which it was never intended. Worse,
this is the surest way of poisoning the spirit of
international consensus and cooperation that we so
desperately need to begin addressing the broader
challenges of the next century.
I
don't pretend that reaching multilateral agreements on
many environmental, labour, or ethical issues will be
easy. But nor should we pretend that there is a short cut
through the WTO - or a magic bullet called trade
sanctions. Unilateralism will not convince any country of
the validity of the values which another asserts. Nor
will trade sanctions serve as a wake up call for public
opinion around the world. This approach could be seen as
a sign of weakness not strength. It could reflect a basic
lack of confidence that one's rights or values can be
freely shared by others.
Divisive
approaches can only lead to divided outcomes. By
definition, the global challenges we all face call for
shared and cooperative solutions. And this can only be
achieved through consensus. The only road ahead, in other
words, is the multilateral road - which will require
determination, skill, and patience.
And
there is good reason for hope. Last year at the WTO's
first Ministerial Conference in Singapore we faced
enormous pressure on the highly contentious issues of
core labour standards. Positions on either side of the
issue were very strongly held. But after months of
careful preparation in Geneva, and five days of intense
debate in Singapore, we emerged from the Conference with
a clear and strong consensus - a consensus first, that
members were committed to the observance of core labour
standards, internationally agreed; second, that the ILO
was the relevant body where the issue of labour standards
should be addressed; third, that such standards are
promoted by growth and development, fostered by trade
liberalization; and fourth, that labour standards should
in no way be used for protectionist purposes or to put
into question the comparative advantage of countries.
The
fact that the ILO is now making important strides in
these areas demonstrates, not only that consensus on the
most difficult issues is possible, but that consensus is
absolutely critical to real and lasting progress.
Supporting the current efforts in the ILO towards
reaching a declaration on Fundamental Workers Rights is
the best way of demonstrating that the real objective is
to promote labour standards and not to seek protectionist
measures.
The
social issue must be at the heart of globalization. As
with the environment, the question is not whether the
social question should be addressed in our interdependent
world. The question is how. The goal of a just society
remains immutable and unchanging - it is our strategy for
achieving that goal which must be new.
I
began by observing that we have a unique opportunity in
this post-Cold War world for developing shared approaches
to shared challenges. The danger we face in the time
ahead is not from the debate about globalization. Its
impact on jobs, the environment, labour standards, human
rights, or other ethical issues is something which can
only be clarified and explained if these issues are
brought out into the open in an honest and informative
way. The real danger is that we will fail to open up the
globalization debate - and allow it instead to be
dominated by a dialogue of the deaf. Growth versus the
environment. Free trade versus labour standards.
Globalization versus Human Rights. This is back to the
future - a return to the ideological conflicts of the
last century, not a shared vision for the next.
Globalization
is a process driven by technological and economic
realities. But its historical impact will be decided by
our ability to find global answers to increasingly global
problems. We all understand the uncertainties and
anxieties raised by the sweeping revolution around us.
This has been the case throughout history when people
face profound change. Imagine what the artisans felt on
the eve of the Industrial Revolution - the very feelings
and fears which led the Luddites to destroy power looms
in early industrial England. And this was a phenomenon
affecting less than 200 million people over the course of
the century. Now we are confronted with a revolution that
affects the greatest part of the world - from 2 to 3
billion people - and all in less than a generation.
The
first industrialized country, the U.K., took 58 years to
double its per capita living standards after the
industrial revolution; the US took 47 years; Germany, 43
years; and Japan 34 years. But from 1966, Malaysia took
just 11 years; Chile 10 years, and China 9. Moreover,
these periods continue to shrink. Ten developing
countries, accounting for almost a third of the world's
population - or over 1.5 billion people - more than
doubled their average per capita income levels between
1980 and 1995. All this is happening because these
countries have chosen to join the world economy and to
open their borders.
Who
can claim that this is a bad thing? Look at the figures
for the German economy. Germany remains the third largest
economy in the world, the second largest trading power,
and a central pillar of an expanding and dynamic European
Union. Last year exports accounted for over 30 per cent
of Germany's GDP, up from 15 per cent in 1970. A large
share of these exports - some US$ 290 billion in 1995 -
still go to fellow members of the European Union. But the
fastest growing share of German exports - from US$ 165
billion in 1990 to US$ 218 billion in 1995 - are now
destined for world markets outside of the EU.
Greater
global coherence in policy-making - for Germany, for
Europe, and for the world - is not only a logical but a
necessary next step in this age of interdependence. As we
begin to address the growing gap between the rules of
international trade and the rules needed to manage the
many other facets of global integration, perhaps the
greatest contribution which the WTO can make is through
its example. What the multilateral trading system offers
is an important symbol of what can be accomplished
internationally through cooperation and consensus - it is
a symbol which we cannot afford to tarnish or devalue.
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